Canada

US Equities Outperform but Does Little for the Heavy Greenback

Overview:  The S&P 500 and NASDAQ set new all-time highs yesterday, but the continued outperformance of US equities have failed to lend the dollar much support.  It was sold to new lows for the year yesterday against the euro, sterling, the Swedish krona, and the Australian dollar.  Asia Pacific equities were mixed.  China, Taiwan, and …

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Canada Shrugs Off Loss of Morneau and Gold Reclaims $2000 Threshold

Overview:   The NASDAQ rallied 1% yesterday to record highs as the Dow Industrials struggled, and the S&P 500 was able to eke out a small gain.  The coattails were short, and the strength of the yen may have contributed to a 0.2% loss of the Nikkei.  Still, its 6.2% advance this month is the best …

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Position Adjustment Dominates ahead of US/Canada Employment Reports

Overview: Escalating dramas may be behind the position adjustment today ahead of the US jobs data.  The US and China feud expanded beyond Tiktok to WeChat, and efforts to tighten disclosure rules for Chinese companies listed in the US are nearing.  The negotiations between the White House and the Democrats broke down, preventing or at …

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Pang of Uncertainty Spurs Profit-Taking

Overview:  The optimism among investors appears to have evaporated in the face of new US-Chinese tensions, possible delays in the next US fiscal stimulus, and new record virus infections in Australia and Hong Kong.   US stocks had pared early gains yesterday, and the high-flying NASDAQ finished lower after setting new record highs.  Hong Kong (-2.25%) and …

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Surge in Coronavirus Spooks Investors as China Takes Profits

Overview: Record fatalities in a few US states, coupled with new travel restrictions in Italy and Australia, have given markets a pause ahead of the weekend.  News that two state-backed funds in China took profits snapped the eight-day advance in Shanghai at the same time as there is an attempt to rein in the use …

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New Record Number of Covid Cases Doesn’t Curtail Appetite for Risk

Overview: A new daily high number of contagions globally has been reported, but the risk-appetites have been stoked.  Chinese stocks have been on a tear.  The Shanghai Composite rallied 5.7% today to bring the five-day advance to 13.6%.  Most other regional markets, including Hong Kong, rallied as well (3.8%).  Australia was the main exception, and it …

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Contagion Growth and Calendar-Effect Saps Investor Enthusiasm

Overview: Given the huge run-up in risk assets this quarter, and the technical indicators warning of corrective forces, concerns over the new infections is pushing on an open door.  The S&P 500 gapped lower yesterday and fell 2.6%, led by energy and airlines.  The NASDAQ snapped an eight-day rally.  Follow-through selling in the Asia Pacific region …

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Monday Blues

Overview: The constructive mood among investors in April has given way to new concerns as May gets underway.  Japan and China are still on holiday, but most of the other markets in Asia fell, led by 4.5%-5.5% declines in Hong Kong and India, and more than 2% in most other local markets.  Australia bucked the trend …

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Look Out

With the release of the US and EU GDP figures, Q1 is behind us. Amidst the great uncertainty, there is at least one thing that is clear. The current quarter is going to be worse, even if not for China. The good news is that with lockdowns gradually easing, the US and European Union, and parts …

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