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US Equities Outperform but Does Little for the Heavy Greenback

Overview:  The S&P 500 and NASDAQ set new all-time highs yesterday, but the continued outperformance of US equities have failed to lend the dollar much support.  It was sold to new lows for the year yesterday against the euro, sterling, the Swedish krona, and the Australian dollar.  Asia Pacific equities were mixed.  China, Taiwan, and …

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Gold and the Dollar are Sold while Stocks March Higher

Overview:   A rotation of sorts seems to be unfolding.  The euro posted its second back-to-back loss in over a month. The Canadian dollar, which has been an under-performer among the major currencies for the past six weeks, gained, while most fell.  The Dow Industrials and S&P 500 rose, the high flying NASDAQ fell for the …

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Liquidity and Macro Compete for Upper Hand

It is sometimes said that two emotions drive the capital markets, fear and greed.  That may cast it in moralistic terms, but there does seem to be two attractors that the pendulum of market sentiment is presently swinging between. On the one hand, central banks have eased monetary policy through conventional and unconventional measures. Governments …

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Weebles Wobble but they Don’t Fall Down

Overview: After early indecision, investors ramped the demand for risk assets, encouraged perhaps by indications that the Trump Administration is going to support at least another trillion-stimulus package.  The NASDAQ rallied to new record highs, and the dollar got thumped across the board. However, in early Asia activity, Trump adviser Navarro seemed to have told Fox …

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Four No’s

Sometimes it is easier to have a sense of what will not happen, rather than a view of what will happen.  No Negative Rates in the US:  Nearly every Federal Reserve official has argued against the deployment of negative interest rates in the US.  It is also not completely clear that the same Congressional authorization …

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Monday Blues

Overview: The constructive mood among investors in April has given way to new concerns as May gets underway.  Japan and China are still on holiday, but most of the other markets in Asia fell, led by 4.5%-5.5% declines in Hong Kong and India, and more than 2% in most other local markets.  Australia bucked the trend …

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